Case Studies

How SuntheticsML Outperformed High-Throughput Experimentation in Cross-Coupling Chemistry

94% Experiment Reduction in Categorical Reaction Optimization

Key Takeaways

  • 94% fewer experiments than HTE, with equivalent outcomes.

  • Optimizes true categorical variables without any transformation—no parameterization required.

  • Identified base as the key driver of reaction yield, challenging conventional assumptions.

  • Works with small data—just 36 random starting points were enough to converge on the optimum.

  • Rapid iteration cycles (as few as 2 needed) accelerate discovery and reduce costs.
Company Name

Ghent University

Category

Academic Research / Catalysis

Published Date

March 18, 2026

Highlighted features / use cases

Categorical Optimization, Supervised Learning, Active Learning, HTE Replacement

Client

This collaboration between Ghent University and Sunthetics focused on optimizing categorical variables in a complex Suzuki-Miyaura cross-coupling. The joint team aimed to compare the predictive power and resource efficiency of SuntheticsML with traditional high-throughput experimentation (HTE)​.

Challenge

  • Determine the best-performing catalyst, base, and solvent combination from a large pool of categorical options.

  • Handle high dimensionality in experimental design without requiring parameterization.

  • Reduce the resource cost and scale of traditional HTE workflows, which demand hundreds of reactions and significant infrastructure.

Goal

  • Achieve or surpass the performance of HTE using significantly fewer experiments.

  • Demonstrate that ML can efficiently optimize categorical variables without prior assumptions or encoding.

  • Reveal non-intuitive variables of influence to inform future R&D strategy.

Approach & Solution

  • Used SuntheticsML’s proprietary Supervised + Active Learning (SL + AL) framework.

  • No one-hot encoding or parameter mapping was needed—true categorical optimization was performed directly.

  • Each ML seed (5 total) started from 36 randomly selected experiments (out of 768).

  • At each iteration, SuntheticsML suggested 6 experiments:

    • 5 predicted optimal points

    • 1 exploratory point for model refinement

  • The experiment recommendations adapted dynamically as performance data improved.

Results & Metrics

  • Traditional HTE:

    • Required 768 experiments to map the full design space.

  • SuntheticsML outcomes:

    • Average performance:

      • 6 iterations, 72 experiments, 91% experiment reduction

    • Best performance:

      • 2 iterations, 48 experiments, 94% experiment reduction

    • Worst case:

      • 9 iterations, 84 experiments, 89% reduction

  • Speed to optimum:

    • Reached the same global maximum as HTE with a fraction of the cost and time.

  • Insight from variable importance analysis:

    • Contrary to expectation, base selection had the largest influence on reaction yield.

    • Solvent and catalyst changes had significantly less predictive weight, shifting future optimization priorities.

Why it worked


"This study shows why categoricals don't have to be the bottleneck. With SuntheticsML, turned a 768-experiment challenge into a 48-experiment solution—without sacrificing accuracy. The model revealed that base selection—not catalyst or solvent—was the key driver of performance. That's the kind of insight you don't get from brute force."